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Australian Dollar: RBA keeps hike option alive – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock signaled a possible rate hike at the August 10–11 meeting, stressing inflation is still too high and productivity weak. She noted d…

Oil: Weakens on deal hopes and fragile flows – ING

ING’s Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent has sold off sharply as US–Iran strikes pause and President Trump signals a “good chance” of a deal. They stress that flows through the Strait of Hormuz and Bab el-…

Euro skyrockets amid softer US confidence

EUR/USD trades higher near the 1.1400 area on Tuesday, gaining around 0.3% as the US Dollar (USD) weakens following softer United States (US) consumer-confidence data. The US Dollar Index falls toward 101.30, helping th…

Federal Reserve: Knife-edge policy risks surprise – ING

ING’s Padhraic Garvey expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to leave rates unchanged at the upcoming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, with odds seen around 60:40 for no move. He argues that calmer June inflatio…

US Dollar: Fed hike odds and asymmetric risks – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee notes that the Dollar is trading on diverging themes versus Developed Market and Asia-ex Japan currencies, with Fed expectations central. Futures are pricing a 38% chance of a surprise ra…

Swiss Franc: SNB on hold view boosts funding role – ING

ING’s Chris Turner highlights a Bloomberg source story suggesting the Swiss National Bank (SNB) may keep its policy rate at 0.00% until end-2027, aligning with ING’s own forecast. He argues this entrenches Swiss Franc (…

British Pound drops against US Dollar, Fed-BoE policy in focus

The British Pound (GBP) extends its decline against the US Dollar (USD) to near 1.3277 during the European trading session on Tuesday, the lowest level seen in over three weeks. The GBP/USD pair faces selling pressure a…

$4,000: Gold’s key support faces a crucial Fed test

Gold (XAU/USD) trades on the back foot on Tuesday, pressured by a firmer US Dollar (USD), even as Oil prices extend their pullback on hopes of an end to the US-Iran war. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades around $4,…

CEE FX: Normalising rates leave room for gains – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes Central and Eastern European (CEE) rate curves have repriced sharply, with more tightening now expected in Czech Republic and Poland and further easing in Hungary. He still sees mispricing…

Singapore Dollar: MAS surprise tightening supports SGD – HSBC

HSBC’s Abhilash Narayan notes that the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) unexpectedly tightened policy on 27 July 2026 by raising the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope to 1.25%. Sup…