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FX

Canada: Stable card trends support cautious optimism – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts Abbey Xu and Rachel Battaglia report that June spending by RBC Canadian cardholders remained relatively stable, with core retail sales up modestly. Discretionary goods led gains, whil…

Gold: Tentative stabilisation on oil relief – OCBC

OCBC strategists Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong highlight that Gold has rebounded as Oil prices eased, reducing inflation and Fed tightening concerns, while a softer US Dollar also supported the move. However, ETF h…

Canadian Dollar: Labour data seen softening – TD Securities

TD Macro Research expects the Canadian labour market to soften in June, with employment unchanged versus market expectations for a 10k gain after May’s 87.8k surge. They see the unemployment rate steady at 6.6% and wage…

Equities: AI Boom risks and resilience – Commerzbank

Commerzbank economists Dr. Jörg Krämer and Bernd Weidensteiner argue that the AI-driven investment surge in US high-tech and IT is substantial but not yet excessive compared with past booms. They see early signs of fast…

Canadian Dollar: Jobs and BoC caution shape outlook – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights that Canada’s June jobs report is expected to show a sharp slowdown in hiring and a pickup in wage growth. He argues the bar for a hawkish shift by the Bank of Canada (BoC) remains high…

US Dollar: AI-driven imports reshape trade – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur says AI-related capital-goods imports are structurally widening the US trade deficit. Strong foreign demand currently helps finance the gap, but weaker confidence in the United States (US) AI …

Indian Rupee: Inflation uptick with monsoon support – DBS

DBS economist Radhika Rao expects India’s June CPI inflation to edge up to 4.1% YoY from 3.9%, driven by food normalisation and fuel-cost pass-through. She sees limited upside risks to core inflation, an improving but u…

Equities: Tech and chips drive relief rally – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank strategists say a strong semiconductor rally and lower oil prices helped lift global equities. The S&P 500 rebounded as investors rotated from defensive sectors into growth and cyclical stocks, while gains…

Canadian Dollar: Firmer against US Dollar – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategists highlight that USD/CAD is tactically expensive versus the 2-year spread and has recently met resistance near 1.4250 before retracing toward 1.4130. They view this area as potential support b…

Indian Rupee rebounds further, ignoring oil price recovery

The Indian Rupee (INR) extends Thursday’s recovery against the US Dollar (USD) in the opening session on Friday. The USD/INR pair falls further to near 95.22 as the US Dollar weakens amid hopes that the restart of the w…