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FX

US Dollar: CPI, Fed speakers and Warsh testimony – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen highlights a US‑centric data and policy calendar, with June CPI expected to ease to 3.8% year‑on‑year and core inflation to 2.8%. He also points to multiple Fed speakers…

Japanese Yen: Higher energy prices pressure JPY – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman reports the Japanese Yen has weakened again, pushing USD/JPY back above 162.00 as higher energy prices and fading impact from last week’s verbal intervention weigh on the currency. He explains that un…

Fed: Inflation risks and policy hold – TD Securities

TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir highlight that the June FOMC minutes were hawkish, with most participants ready to hike if supply-driven inflation persists. They still project the Fed will keep rates on…

New Zealand Dollar: RBNZ tightening risks watched – UOB

UOB’s Lee Sue Ann and Jester Koh note that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised the Official Cash Rate to 2.50% in July and adopted a more hawkish tone as inflation risks remain elevated. They keep their OCR forecast …

Oil: Strait of Hormuz risks reshape macro mix – BNY

BNY's Geoff Yu notes that renewed U.S.-Iran tensions have lifted Brent and WTI, with markets reassessing energy supply risks and broader risk sentiment. Yu stresses that the Strait of Hormuz is now the key macro channel…

British Pound: Gilt confidence and new leadership – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that United Kingdom (UK) assets, including the British Pound (GBP) and gilts, will react more to the choice of chancellor under incoming Prime Minister Andy Burnham than to the leadership change it…

US Dollar: Higher energy supports Fed tightening – ING

ING analysts Chris Turner, Frantisek Taborsky and Francesco Pesole note that higher energy prices and tensions in the Gulf are supporting the Dollar against low-yielding currencies. They highlight that US energy indepen…

Oil: Markets price renewed Hormuz risks – Rabobank

Rabobank strategist Michael Every discusses rising geopolitical risks around the Strait of Hormuz after the apparent collapse of a US-Iran memorandum of understanding. Every notes both sides are now striking each other,…