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FX

Gold rises toward $4,070 as falling US yields support Bullion

Gold price registers gains of 0.58% as Washington pauses attacks on Tehran, while US President Donald Trump opened the door for a resumption in negotiations. This, along with falling US Treasury yields, is a tailwind fo…

Singapore Dollar: MAS signals inflation concern – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay notes Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) unexpectedly tightened policy for a second meeting, slightly increasing the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope and s…

Germany: Recovery potential versus energy drag – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Dr. Jörg Krämer argues that high energy prices will continue to weigh on the German economy in the second half of 2026, limiting full-year growth to 0.6%. He notes that the strong Ifo business climate read…

New Zealand Dollar holds after weak US durable goods data

NZD/USD trades near the 0.5790 area on Monday, struggling to extend its recovery despite modest weakness in the US Dollar (USD). The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) receives some support from the sharp decline in oil prices, a…

WTI Oil drops more than 7% as US, Iran pause strikes

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil extends its decline on Monday, trading around $82.60 per barrel at the time of writing, down 7.4% on the day. Crude Oil opened the week with a sharp bearish gap after the United Stat…

Singapore Dollar: MAS signals inflation concern – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay notes Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) unexpectedly tightened policy for a second meeting, slightly increasing the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) slope and s…

Bank of England: Higher bar seen for rate hikes - ING

ING’s James Smith expects the Bank of England to keep rates on hold on 30 July and sees a prolonged pause extending through 2026. New forecasts are likely to show UK inflation peaking near 3%, below the 4% level seen as…

Euro flat after losing early gains on Monday

EUR/USD trades lower near the 1.1370 area on Monday, surrendering earlier gains as investors remain cautious ahead of key Eurozone growth figures and the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) monetary policy decision.

CEE FX: Softer geopolitics aids high beta – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects upcoming Czech and Hungarian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data to confirm improving growth momentum, while Polish inflation should re-accelerate on higher fuel prices. Taborsky argues th…

Russian Ruble: CBR credibility risks after cut – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose reports the Russian central bank cut its key rate to 14.0% despite raising its 2026 inflation forecast and projecting stagflationary macro conditions. He argues the easing cycle suggests politi…

US Dollar: Fed uncertainty tempers USD strength – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar has softened as Middle East tensions ease and Brent Oil retreats below USD90, reducing energy-driven inflation fears. The correction in energy prices has slightly lowered market-im…