France Is Discovering the Cost of Higher Yields
Three themes have been shaping portfolios through the summer: politics; bond yields; and (inevitably) AI.
Bonds
What Do Parabolic Treasury Yields Tell Us?
Precious metals investors are watching market conditions closely as gold and silver hover at pivotal price points. While both metals have already posted impressive gains, multiple converging factors suggest we may be wi…
Rates Fall Sharply Ahead of the September Jobs Report
TOKYO - Tokyo stocks fell on October 2, with the Nikkei 225 closing at 68,309, down 647 points, as investors took profits after the previous day’s sharp rally and turned cautious ahead of U.S. employment data, rising gl…
Rates Spark: Widening Fiscal Woes
SEOUL – A surge in long-term US Treasury yields is driving up borrowing costs in Korea, lifting government bond yields and adding pressure on companies, households and stocks.
To What Extent Is the Rise in Long-Dated Rates Attributable to AI?
It appears that investors are concerned that the economy could be overheating, potentially leading to a faster tightening of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve. Last week, S&P Global released its latest flash purcha…
Bessent Intervened in September. So Why Is He Silent as 10-Year Hits 24-Year High
On August 19, 2026, the U.S. Treasury announced that it would at least double the size of its liquidity-support buyback operations in the 10-to-20-year and 20-to-30-year maturity sectors.
Treasury Yields Keep Rising. Can the Economy Keep Up?
Major bond markets are under pressure thanks to massive AI debt sales, fiscal woes, and inflation concerns.
Gilts Too Distracted for Good News
Prime Minister Burnham presented UK government plans that should help ease gilt investors' concerns about political risks. For now, US rates and energy costs continue in the driver's seat, offering little relief for gil…
Real Yield Rise Is Not That Mysterious
Nasa is releasing a steady stream of stunning pictures of the Moon and Earth taken by the astronauts on its Artemis II Moon mission.
Bond Yields Are Surging: What It Means for Stocks, Gold, and the US Dollar
Gold prices are facing a critical test at the start of September as a renewed global bond sell-off puts pressure on non-yielding assets.
Treasury Jitters Are Rising, Yet the Real Pressure Is Building in Diesel
Early trading shows the Dow down around 0.3%. The S&P 500 is nearly unchanged. The Nasdaq is inching higher. This comes after yesterday’s pullback, when both the S&P 500 and Nasdaq retreated from record highs. Rising oi…
Rates Outlook: Asymmetric Relationship Between Oil and Rates
Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 challenged much of the common Western understanding of Russia. How can the world better understand Russia? What are the steps forward for Western policy? The Eura…
Rates Outlook: Time Not on France’s Side
Kylian Mbappe’s France continue their quest for the world title, facing Lamine Yamal’s Spain in a blockbuster semifinal.
US 10-Year Likely Gets Above and Stays Above 5% Ahead
Equities fall for 6th time in 7 sessions bringing key downside levels closer as breadth deteriorates, oil approaches 4-year highs and long-term yields hit the highest in nearly two decades
The Cleaner Fed Trade Is in SOFR, Not Treasuries
The Federal Open Market Committee primarily adjusts the stance of monetary policy through its target range for the federal funds rate. We discuss whether the fed funds rate remains the right operating target for short-t…
Treasury Yield Premium Surges Amid Inflation and Debt Worries
The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield has touched roughly 5.3 percent in the past week, a level not seen in nearly two decades. Global counterparts in Europe, the U.K., and Japan have climbed to similar heights.
Weak Buyback and Strong Auctions: Bullish Signals for Bonds
Last Thursday’s Treasury buyback operation was deemed “weak” in the financial media as it bought back just $5.19 billion, less than the $6 billion investors had anticipated. A buyback succeeds only if current bondholder…
Are Rising Treasury Yields Part of Warsh’s Inflation Strategy?
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is in the midst of a historic effort to tamp down long-term Treasury yields. He may also be complicating the work of his counterpart at the Federal Reserve, Chairman Kevin Warsh.
S&P 500: Treasury Yield Breakout Signals the Potential for More Upside
August 5, 2026, 3:53 AM EDT.IPOs such as SpaceX and ChangXin Memory Technologies have generated worldwide interest, particularly across the tech and AI sectors. Still, with founders trying to maximize returns and invest…
Bond Market’s Verdict on Washington Is Turning Harsher
If the Supreme Court rules President Donald Trump's International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) tariffs are illegal, U.S. companies would not only be in line to receive tariff refunds, but also billions of dolla…
Bessent Can Hold Down the Long Bond, But He Can’t Make the Bill Disappear
The bond market is getting restless. What rising yields, $40 trillion in debt, AI spending, and Scott Bessent reveal about the price of money.
Bessent Brings a Pea Shooter to a Trillion-Dollar Bond Market
U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent's plan to suppress long-term borrowing costs through larger-scale Treasury buybacks is facing an unforgiving test from the market. The Treasury Department announced Wednesday it wou…
Bessent’s Buybacks: Will Treasury Reignite the US Dollar Debasement Trade?
SINGAPORE, Aug 25 (Reuters) - Bitcoin rose above $80,000 to hit a more than three-month high on Tuesday as a soft U.S. dollar, in the wake of the moves by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent to calm the bond market, revive…
Rates Outlook: Growth Disappointments Would Still Build a Bullish Case
IREN stock forecast 2030 through AI capacity, power, dilution, margins, contract durability, and long-term infrastructure risk.