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The Next Commodity Shock May Begin in the Pacific

Forecasts point to a strong El Niño event at the end of 2026, raising fears over food supplies and prices. While we believe these fears are overstated at the global level, El Niño poses a more significant regional risk …

Silver Pullbacks Stay Constructive While $67.35 Support Holds

Silver (XAG/USD) trades on the front foot on Friday but lacks strong follow-through and remains within the narrow range seen this week. At the time of writing, XAG/USD trades around $65 after bouncing from an intraday l…

Gold prices flat ahead of Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech

Asian markets traded cautiously on Thursday, with much of the region's price action muted as traders adopted a wait and see approach ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, even though the symp…

What India’s Gold Discount Is Really Telling Us

In late June, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) released the Financial Stability Report (FSR). According to the report, as of September 2025, India’s household debt stood at 45.5% of its gross domestic product (GDP). In J…

Oil’s War Premium Unwinds Faster Than Gulf Supply Can Recover

Oil markets have a well-documented habit of moving before the facts fully arrive. Futures curves shift on the weight of expectation, not confirmed delivery. Supply premiums unwind when traders begin to believe scarcity …

Gold Is Moving Back Toward the Pre-Buyback Setup

Spot gold trades at $4,481.29 per troy ounce, down 0.81% on the session after failing at $4,510–$4,515 during Asian hours. The COMEX front-month contract sits at $4,537.00, off $8.30 or 0.18%, having printed $4,550.80 o…

WTI Crude Oil Outlook: Failure to Rally Raises Downside Risk

WTI crude is trading around $84.80, up roughly 4% over the past two weeks and consolidating just below the $85.00 psychological level which aligns with the 100-day SMA; a decisive daily close above $85 could open a rall…